About Jeremy Campbell

Founder and President of DraftFuel

Player Hot Streaks Are Everything For Winning DFS Contests

golf balls with dollar signs

The more I play daily fantasy sports, mostly on DraftKings, the more I recognize that using sports players who are on current hot streaks is key to winning. If an NBA player has put up at least 36 fantasy points over the past 7 games, then there’s a good chance that trend will extend to 8 games. After conducting some level of due diligence first of course.

This is especially true for PGA contests. I used to rely more on past tournament results than current form, but now I weigh my player selection influence based on 80% of current form and 20% from past tournament results. Of course I was always looking for players that had a strong intersection of these two categories, but the more I favor players who are hot at the moment with cool to warm past tournament results versus players that are cool to warm at the moment but have hot past tournament results, the better I tend to do. Of course there is usually a handful of players who are hot in both categories, but they typically have salaries above $11,000. For cash games you want players in the $7.5K-$9K range, and this mid tier of players you are usually forced to choose between current form and past tournament results, so that’s where you may want to apply the 80/20 split I outlined above.

I also apply the same thinking to my NHL and NBA contests, and will stay consistent when MLB contests are up and running again next month when professional baseball returns for its 2018 campaign.

I think this methodology is what makes DraftFuel so valuable, because you can quickly figure out which players are hot on DraftKings and FanDuel at the moment from a fantasy points perspective, based on various filtering options that are available to our users.

There’s a DraftFuel screen shot below outlining what a user playing NBA on DraftKings would do to see all players who have at least 30 fantasy points/game over the past 5 games. Damian Lillard and Paul George display, along with a few other players. From there a player can be clicked on to view his past game analytics and you can determine if he’s a good value pick to use in a lineup.

Filtering players by minimum number of fantasy points

I will still once in awhile use a player who may be cold at the moment but has had uniquely strong performances versus that specific opponent in the past. Players playing in their hometown for example sometimes find an extra gear and snap out of their cold streaks with strong play against their favorite childhood team.

There are so many variables to take into account when building DFS lineups, but certainly don’t underestimate the power of player hot streaks, and how they can empower you to win more contests and earn more money.

If you haven’t already, be sure to get an account on DraftFuel to get access to the player analytics and search tools you need to build better quality lineups more consistently, win more contests and money on DraftKings and FanDuel, save research time, track your spending, and improve your work flow process too. We currently support NBA, NHL, MLB, and PGA, and will be adding more sports leagues this year as well.

Don’t yet have an account on DraftKings or FanDuel? Get in the game NOW! You can get up and running in seconds, get an account on DraftKings now or sign up on FanDuel.

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These NHL Players Will Help You Win Your DraftKings Contests Tonight (February 9th)

We are officially in the dog days of hockey right now, but with all of the recent high scoring games, and significant NHL coach firings (like Boston’s coach getting canned hours before the Patriots’ Super Bowl victory parade) there’s certainly still lots of entertainment these days!

Tonight we have a busy Thursday with 11 games on the slate, so 22 teams will do battle against each other. We will see the Blues vs Maple Leafs, Kings vs Panthers, Sharks vs Bruins, Ducks vs Sabres, Predators vs Rangers, Islanders vs Flyers, Red Wings vs Capitals, Canucks vs Blue Jackets, Stars vs Senators, Penguins vs Avalanche, and Canadiens vs Coyotes. I think most of these games should be quite entertaining overall, but I’m most excited about the Stars vs Senators game from a fantasy perspective since both teams tend to give up lots of goals, and both teams can certainly score lots of goals too. A 6-5 final wouldn’t surprise me in the least.

If you are trying to decide which players to select tonight for your NHL daily fantasy sports contests on DraftKings, you have come to the right place. Below I list my favorite player for each position tonight based on the most fantasy points I feel can be earned at a salary that offers good value, and suggest other good player selections that fit that same criteria too. I include all player’s salaries for tonight as well.

Good luck everyone, may your lineups be hot, your fantasy points be high, and your earnings be amazing!

1. Goalie: My Pick – Braden Holtby ($8,500) – He is absolutely on fire right now with 8 wins in a row if you count the All Star games he shone in. He is coming off a 9.6 fantasy point shutout game of the Hurricanes, and could very well shut out the Red Wings tonight at home.

Other good options to consider: Henrik Lundqvist ($8,100), Robin Lehner ($7,500), and Sergei Bobrovsky ($8,300).

2. Defense: My Pick – Kris Letang ($6,000) – I like one of the top dmen in the league at this price compared to a Burns or a Karlsson at $8.5K and $7K respectively. Colorado are giving up 3.3 goals per game which is last in the league, they are 29th in shots against, and 29th in save percentage. The Penguins can score with the best of them and despite the Avalanche having a shut out last game, I don’t see positive results this time around in the mile high city with Crosby and company in town. Letang’s fantasy points have ranged from 5 to 6 over the past three games and his salary has remained flat so I like him as a high end value player tonight.

Other good options to consider: Seth Jones ($5,300), Matt Niskanen ($4,700), and Morgan Rielly ($4,200).

3. Center: My Pick – Patrice Bergeron ($6,500) – He had a bad start to the season, but is on fire now with 3 goals and 5 assists in his last 5 games, and went off last game vs Toronto for 10.5 fantasy points with a three point effort.

Other good options to consider: Tyler Seguin ($7,700), Evgeny Kuznetsov ($5,600), and Tyler Bozak ($4,700).

4. Winger: My Pick – Mitch Marner ($6,100) – The rookie of the month for January is going gang busters these days with a fantasy point range of 4 to 8.5 over his past 5 games. He scored last week vs St.Louis in Missouri, and I expect another strong outing tonight in Toronto.

Other good options to consider: Mike Hoffman ($5,700), Jamie Benn ($7,200), Evander Kane ($5,300), Brad Marchand ($7,100), J.T. Miller ($5,200), and Michael Grabner ($5,100).

If you haven’t already, be sure to get an account on DraftFuel to get access to the player analytics and search tools you need to build better quality lineups more consistently, win more contests and money on DraftKings and FanDuel, save research time, track your spending, and improve your work flow process too. We currently support NBA, NHL, MLB, and PGA, and will be adding more sports leagues this year as well including NFL.

Don’t yet have an account on DraftKings or FanDuel? Get in the game NOW! You can get up and running in seconds, get an account on DraftKings now or sign up on FanDuel. Bonus: Get a DraftKings account , make a $5 deposit and we will send you $10 just let us know your username! 

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The Top 5 NBA Value Player Picks on DraftKings for February 8th

Listed below are 5 NBA players for today, February 8th, from the five positions that are (by our projections) the top plays on DraftKings today.

In order to determine the top DraftKings selections, we determine players with the most value per dollar spent using our ever changing algorithm.

PPG = points per game, RPG = rebounds per game, APG = assists per game, FPPG = fantasy points per game, and PV = projected value in fantasy points.

PG = point guard, SG = shooting guard, SF = small forward, PF = power forward, C = center

Don’t yet have an account on DraftKings or FanDuel? Get in the game NOW! You can get up and running in seconds, get an account on DraftKings now or sign up on FanDuel.

NAME POSITION SALARY PPG RPG APG FPPG PV
Stephen Curry PG $10,000 25.6 4.3 6.4 45.1 64.3
Bradley Beal SG $7,100 22.2 2.9 3.7 34.3 49.6
LeBron James SF $10,600 25.9 7.9 8.8 52.8 67.1
Blake Griffin PF $9,300 21.6 8.8 4.8 42.4 57.9
Hassan Whiteside C $7,900 16.9 13.9 0.7 41.0 53.0
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5 Stud & 5 Value Players for the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am on DraftKings

ATT Pebble Beach ProAm

It was an intense title defense win for Hideki Matsuyama last week at the Waste Management Phoenix Open, edging out Webb Simpson in four sudden death playoff holes. Big congrats to “nfog” as he or she was the big $20,000 winner of the PGA $325K Birdie contest earning 638 fantasy points with the lineup consisting of Matsuyama, Oosthuizen, Fowler, An, Berger, and Kuchar.

This week’s AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am will be played on three different courses on the beautiful west coast of California. The tournament features a 156 player field (plus a few celebrities such as Mark Wahlberg), and the top 60 PGA players plus ties will get to play on Sunday after the 54 hole cut is made on Saturday. The defending champ is the veteran, Vaughn Taylor.

I have put together my favorite 5 picks and top 5 sleepers for this week’s PGA tournament for your DraftKings lineup(s), plus added in the salaries for all players too.

Feel free to debate my selections below with a comment, or add your favorite player if you don’t see him on the list but can foresee see him contending or being a solid value pick this week. If you get value here then please share this article with your followers on Twitter and friends or fans on Facebook.  Thanks, and good luck everyone!

  1. Justin Rose ($9,200) – Looks like his ailing back is feeling much better these days as he has a 2nd and a 4th in his most recent two starts. In his only appearance at Pebble Beach he finished 6th just last year.
  2. Brandt Snedeker ($10,000) – Won here in 2013 and in 2015, and if the every two year win pattern continues then we will see Brandt win this year in 2017. Was 9th in his most recent start at the Farmers Insurance Open under two weeks ago.
  3. Jordan Spieth ($12,000) – Is consistently in the top 10 for finishes, and it’s a big reason why he’s regularly on the top of the player list in terms of highest salary number on DraftKings. In the past three years at this tourney he has finished 4th, 7th, and 21st, from 2014 to 2016 respectively.
  4. Phil Mickelson ($9,300) – Is on a pretty good run right now and starting to look more and more like one of the best golfers ever again, which he certainly is. Won here in 2012, was 2nd here last year, and has five top 19’s in his last six starts at Pebble Beach. Has won this tourney a record four times in total over the many years of his career, and is unsurprisingly the all time money leader.
  5. Dustin Johnson ($11,800) – The supremely talented golfer actually missed the cut in his most recent start at the Farmers Insurance Open, but don’t expect the typical top 5 finisher to miss out on Sunday golf this week. He has three top 5’s here in the past six years, and golfing with his future father in-law, Wayne Gretzky, should get him back to an elite finish. Oh, and he has won here twice before, so there’s that as well.

Top 5 value players for this week with a salary of $7,000 or less:

  1. Shane Lowry ($7,000) – Is quite consistent week to week usually settling in for teens, 20’s, or 30’s finishes. Has played in this tournament twice, and was 21st in 2015, and 41st last year.
  2. Vaughn Taylor ($6,900) – Whenever I can get a defending tourney champ for under $7K I usually bite, unless recent form is horrible. Taylor’s isn’t as he has played on the weekend in 9 straight events. Was 10th here in 2015, and could add a third straight top 10 this year which would make his fantasy owners very happy.
  3. Cameron Smith ($6,900) – Was 11th here last year, and has been pretty consistent with good finishes this season on the PGA Tour. Has finishes ranging from 27th to 42nd with just one missed cut in his past four starts.
  4. Jim Herman ($6,900) – Was on a great run with finishes in the 10th to 13th range until he missed the cut last week in Arizona. Was 17th here last year, and 27th in 2014.
  5. Scott Brown ($6,800) – Hasn’t missed a cut since November, making all five cuts since then with a typical finish being in the 40’s to 50’s range. He should have a similar finish this year unless he gets distracted by the free flowing waves of the brilliant Pacific Ocean.

My main lineup for this week so far with $100 left in the maximum salary cap: Brandt Snedeker ($10,000), Phil Mickelson ($9,300), Justin Rose ($9,200), Jim Furyk ($7,500), Shane Lowry ($7,000), and Vaughn Taylor ($6,900).

If you haven’t already, be sure to get an account on DraftFuel to get access to the player analytics and search tools you need to build better quality lineups more consistently, win more contests and money on DraftKings and FanDuel, save research time, track your spending, and improve your work flow process too. We currently support NBA, NHL, MLB, and PGA, and will be adding more sports leagues this year as well including NFL.

Don’t yet have an account on DraftKings or FanDuel? Get in the game NOW! You can get up and running in seconds, get an account on DraftKings now or sign up on FanDuel. Bonus: Get a DraftKings account , make a $5 deposit and we will send you $10 just let us know your username! 

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What DFS Content Can You Trust?

daily fantasy sports trust

There are a few large publications that fairly regularly cover the daily fantasy sports (DFS) industry, both for news and for lineup building information. And now there are lots of niche DFS blogs that post content to try and help DFS users do better by recommending ideal players for any given day, and providing team vs team match up intel.

More and more content publishers are fighting for DFS user’s attention, and a variety is a positive thing for the industry, but the problem is which mainstream and DFS blogs can you actually trust?

I would recommend reading a wide variety of sites initially to see which ones resonate with you the best in terms of consuming the content, and actually putting the information into action when building your DFS lineups. Some posts may leave you more confused than when you originally arrived to the site, and that’s certainly a bad thing because your main goal is to quickly get quality recommendations for your lineups, select those players, and enter some contests.

An important thing to do is to track results from each of the sites that you trust for your DFS research. Too many DFS users will use information from a site or sites, then not connect their contest winnings or losses to the player recommendations they received and ultimately used. If you keep consistently losing after using the same sources for DFS information, then you really should consider finding new DFS material to read, watch, or listen to, or just tweak your lineup construction process in general.

Some DFS users don’t really read much content, and instead solely use DFS tools and analytics services for their lineup building needs. If that works then great, but I think it’s important to both consume DFS related information for the sport(s) you are competing in for a foundation of knowledge on a particular day, and use DFS tools to dig into player stats and fantasy data to make educated judgement calls as to whether player’s salary numbers are worth the investments or not.

Keep an eye out for feedback and social mentions of the articles that you are putting stock in from a trust perspective, and see how others feel about the same content that you are relying on. If you observe positive sentiment from DFS users, and the results you see personally are consistent with that notion then you can feel good about your choices. But always tweak where you get your information from by adding or removing sources on a monthly basis. And keep in mind that DFS is sort of a secretive industry since users don’t want to offer much help to their competition, so social signals can often be minimal.

If you mostly just read DFS content to get facts only, then you can safely keep using those sources and lean on them. I’m mostly discussing sites that are offering up opinions, player’s fantasy point projections, and essentially subjective and debatable insights.

Just like in life, when you find something or someone you can trust it’s an amazing thing, and you need to be able to put your trust in the inputs you use for your DFS lineup building process. We ultimately make all DFS player selections based on our gut, and our gut relies on trust and belief, so what we put into our minds has to successfully satisfy our emotional side too.

Trust takes a long time to earn, can be taken away in the blink of an eye, and can be impossible to gain back, so it’s important for those who gain influence and earn trust in the DFS industry to treasure and nurture the honor to build stronger relationships over time. I for one take great pride in building up my DFS integrity, and with every article I publish, connection I make, and communication I have with someone who’s involved within DFS one way or another, I value highly and take nothing for granted.

If you haven’t already, be sure to get an account on DraftFuel to get access to the player analytics and search tools you need to build better quality lineups more consistently, win more contests and money on DraftKings and FanDuel, save research time, track your spending, and improve your work flow process too. We currently support NBA, NHL, MLB, and PGA, and will be adding more sports leagues this year as well.

Don’t yet have an account on DraftKings or FanDuel? Get in the game NOW! You can get up and running in seconds, get an account on DraftKings now or sign up on FanDuel.

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