Player Hot Streaks Are Everything For Winning DFS Contests

golf balls with dollar signs

The more I play daily fantasy sports, mostly on DraftKings, the more I recognize that using sports players who are on current hot streaks is key to winning. If an NBA player has put up at least 36 fantasy points over the past 7 games, then there’s a good chance that trend will extend to 8 games. After conducting some level of due diligence first of course.

This is especially true for PGA contests. I used to rely more on past tournament results than current form, but now I weigh my player selection influence based on 80% of current form and 20% from past tournament results. Of course I was always looking for players that had a strong intersection of these two categories, but the more I favor players who are hot at the moment with cool to warm past tournament results versus players that are cool to warm at the moment but have hot past tournament results, the better I tend to do. Of course there is usually a handful of players who are hot in both categories, but they typically have salaries above $11,000. For cash games you want players in the $7.5K-$9K range, and this mid tier of players you are usually forced to choose between current form and past tournament results, so that’s where you may want to apply the 80/20 split I outlined above.

I also apply the same thinking to my NHL and NBA contests, and will stay consistent when MLB contests are up and running again next month when professional baseball returns for its 2018 campaign.

I think this methodology is what makes DraftFuel so valuable, because you can quickly figure out which players are hot on DraftKings and FanDuel at the moment from a fantasy points perspective, based on various filtering options that are available to our users.

There’s a DraftFuel screen shot below outlining what a user playing NBA on DraftKings would do to see all players who have at least 30 fantasy points/game over the past 5 games. Damian Lillard and Paul George display, along with a few other players. From there a player can be clicked on to view his past game analytics and you can determine if he’s a good value pick to use in a lineup.

Filtering players by minimum number of fantasy points

I will still once in awhile use a player who may be cold at the moment but has had uniquely strong performances versus that specific opponent in the past. Players playing in their hometown for example sometimes find an extra gear and snap out of their cold streaks with strong play against their favorite childhood team.

There are so many variables to take into account when building DFS lineups, but certainly don’t underestimate the power of player hot streaks, and how they can empower you to win more contests and earn more money.

If you haven’t already, be sure to get an account on DraftFuel to get access to the player analytics and search tools you need to build better quality lineups more consistently, win more contests and money on DraftKings and FanDuel, save research time, track your spending, and improve your work flow process too. We currently support NBA, NHL, MLB, and PGA, and will be adding more sports leagues this year as well.

Don’t yet have an account on DraftKings or FanDuel? Get in the game NOW! You can get up and running in seconds, get an account on DraftKings now or sign up on FanDuel.

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What DFS Content Can You Trust?

daily fantasy sports trust

There are a few large publications that fairly regularly cover the daily fantasy sports (DFS) industry, both for news and for lineup building information. And now there are lots of niche DFS blogs that post content to try and help DFS users do better by recommending ideal players for any given day, and providing team vs team match up intel.

More and more content publishers are fighting for DFS user’s attention, and a variety is a positive thing for the industry, but the problem is which mainstream and DFS blogs can you actually trust?

I would recommend reading a wide variety of sites initially to see which ones resonate with you the best in terms of consuming the content, and actually putting the information into action when building your DFS lineups. Some posts may leave you more confused than when you originally arrived to the site, and that’s certainly a bad thing because your main goal is to quickly get quality recommendations for your lineups, select those players, and enter some contests.

An important thing to do is to track results from each of the sites that you trust for your DFS research. Too many DFS users will use information from a site or sites, then not connect their contest winnings or losses to the player recommendations they received and ultimately used. If you keep consistently losing after using the same sources for DFS information, then you really should consider finding new DFS material to read, watch, or listen to, or just tweak your lineup construction process in general.

Some DFS users don’t really read much content, and instead solely use DFS tools and analytics services for their lineup building needs. If that works then great, but I think it’s important to both consume DFS related information for the sport(s) you are competing in for a foundation of knowledge on a particular day, and use DFS tools to dig into player stats and fantasy data to make educated judgement calls as to whether player’s salary numbers are worth the investments or not.

Keep an eye out for feedback and social mentions of the articles that you are putting stock in from a trust perspective, and see how others feel about the same content that you are relying on. If you observe positive sentiment from DFS users, and the results you see personally are consistent with that notion then you can feel good about your choices. But always tweak where you get your information from by adding or removing sources on a monthly basis. And keep in mind that DFS is sort of a secretive industry since users don’t want to offer much help to their competition, so social signals can often be minimal.

If you mostly just read DFS content to get facts only, then you can safely keep using those sources and lean on them. I’m mostly discussing sites that are offering up opinions, player’s fantasy point projections, and essentially subjective and debatable insights.

Just like in life, when you find something or someone you can trust it’s an amazing thing, and you need to be able to put your trust in the inputs you use for your DFS lineup building process. We ultimately make all DFS player selections based on our gut, and our gut relies on trust and belief, so what we put into our minds has to successfully satisfy our emotional side too.

Trust takes a long time to earn, can be taken away in the blink of an eye, and can be impossible to gain back, so it’s important for those who gain influence and earn trust in the DFS industry to treasure and nurture the honor to build stronger relationships over time. I for one take great pride in building up my DFS integrity, and with every article I publish, connection I make, and communication I have with someone who’s involved within DFS one way or another, I value highly and take nothing for granted.

If you haven’t already, be sure to get an account on DraftFuel to get access to the player analytics and search tools you need to build better quality lineups more consistently, win more contests and money on DraftKings and FanDuel, save research time, track your spending, and improve your work flow process too. We currently support NBA, NHL, MLB, and PGA, and will be adding more sports leagues this year as well.

Don’t yet have an account on DraftKings or FanDuel? Get in the game NOW! You can get up and running in seconds, get an account on DraftKings now or sign up on FanDuel.

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Don’t Play Daily Fantasy Sports Lineups From Lineup Sellers

sameness in DFS

It’s amazing how many people sell lineups for DraftKings and FanDuel on Twitter, and other social media sites. I’m all for people selling lineups, in fact some of them are DraftFuel customers already, but I think it’s wise for users who buy them to tweak their lineups, just a little bit.

User’s should research all of the player’s analytics who are suggested for the paid lineups, and decide which ones to keep and which ones to switch out.

I’ve subscribed for paid lineup services before, and had some success. But what I would typically do is swap out 2 to 4 players per lineup with players I felt had a higher percentage of attaining more fantasy points on that given day.

The good thing about tweaking your lineups even just a little bit is because:

  1. You don’t want to have the exact same lineup as anyone else ideally, because if you win a big prize you will have to split up the winnings with what can be 10 or more people.
  2. You want to look for players who have a better chance at more fantasy points, and who will be less owned so your lineup becomes that much more unique.
  3. You will feel more confident in your lineups because you put your finger prints on them, and will feel like you are more in control of your DFS destiny.

If you are thinking about buying DFS lineups, then I would highly recommend that you look at Monster Roster who I’ve used before and seen success with!

If you haven’t already, be sure to get an account on DraftFuel to get access to the player analytics and search tools you need to build better quality lineups more consistently, win more contests and money on DraftKings and FanDuel, save research time, track your spending, and improve your work flow process too. We currently support NBA, NHL, MLB, and PGA, and will be adding more sports leagues this year as well.

Don’t yet have an account on DraftKings or FanDuel? Get in the game NOW! You can get up and running in seconds, get an account on DraftKings now or sign up on FanDuel.

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How To Thrive Like a Pro in DFS

How To Compete

Regularly building lineups and entering daily fantasy sports (DFS) contests is a challenging endeavor, even for the most elite users. I’ve been playing DFS for over 5 years now, but I still have hardships from time to time. Sort of like last night how Anze Kopitar of the Los Angeles Kings was a late scratch because of an unknown illness and unfortunately I owned and deployed him in a few contests. So did another 10% of users too. I usually do a quick Twitter search for each player in my lineups just before contests lock, but I didn’t yesterday and unfortunately got burned.

So how do you successfully compete in daily fantasy sports to be profitable or at least break even over a long period of time? I have some suggestions below for you to be a better DFS user, I hope they help you improve whether that’s on DraftKings, FanDuel, or another site that you may play on.

  1. Use fantasy sports tools and analytics – All too often DFS users are stuck in their same routine whether they are winning or losing. If you are regularly winning your contests and your bankroll is healthy then you are certainly doing something right, but if you are on the opposite end of the spectrum and losing consistently then switch up your rigid research process, and look at using DFS tools if you aren’t already. You can typically use a good service for $1 per day or less, so consider making that investment to win more often, and save on research time. Most DFS pros pay for DFS tools to get better contest results, and you should too to level the playing field and minimize their competitive advantages as much as possible.
  2. Compete in sports you know – There are certainly some DFS pros who compete in most every sport by primarily relying on their number and stats skills to build lineups. That can work, but I would recommend that you only make bets on sports that you actually know, watch, and are passionate about. The more information and feel you get for a sport, the better you will (in theory) regularly perform playing in that sport’s DFS contests.
  3. Manage your bankroll – A lot of DFS analysts will say that bankroll management is very important, and that you shouldn’t bet more than 10% of your account balance on any given day. That advice is fine if you’re a DFS pro or semi-pro, but even better advice for the average user is to make smaller deposits, and maybe only bet $5 or less for every day of play. I still tend to mostly make small deposits of $10 so it keeps me focused on making smart bets otherwise I know I will have to make another deposit soon, something which I don’t like to do. If you deposit say $100 each time, then the tenancy is to make larger bets, and all sorts of sloppy things can creep into your lineup building and betting strategy when you want to go big or go home. DFS is a marathon not a sprint, you got to keep yourself in the game, give yourself ample opportunities to win more than you bet, and hopefully hit it big in a GPP contest or two eventually to have a sweet cash out event. Bank accounts love seeing DFS money!
  4. Understand which percentage of lineups get paid – You want to give yourself the best possible odds to stay cash flow positive, and minimize your deposits. I recommend playing in head to head contests against users who don’t have lots of experience in DFS, pick your opponents wisely. Top 50% contests are good too, especially ones that have hundreds or thousands of lineups, the bigger the better I find for top 50% contest success. Giving yourself a 50/50 shot of cashing in is ideal, but the sizable GPP’s are so tempting since the big prize money is highly desirable. You should be betting at least 75%-80% of your money in “safe” contests where your odds of winning are 50%, these are often called cash games. The rest can be bet in other contests such as GPP’s where your percentage to win some kind of prize money is typically around 20%.
  5. Don’t get too emotional – Betting by nature is an emotional activity. Money is hard earned and we don’t want to part with it unless we are getting some tangible value back. There is of course the entertainment value that we get from playing DFS, but our main goal is to win and be profitable. DFS pros don’t win every day, but they accept those losses and try to learn from them and play smarter the next day. If you play DFS with too much emotion you may find yourself doubling down to recoup losses fast, but this is almost always a bad idea. I’ve done it a few times, but I finally realize that strategy doesn’t work, and so I just consistently play around the same amount of money every day regardless of my wins or losses the previous night. Again, DFS is a marathon, not a sprint.
  6. Take advantage of non full contests – I went into a $1 NHL GPP contest yesterday which ultimately filled up, but I also got into a $4 NHL GPP last minute as the maximum number of lineups allowed was 8,823, but only 7,460 lineups actually got entered. The contest was almost 1,400 lineups short which increased the odds to win prize money by roughly 10%. Take advantage of these rare opportunities when you can, the DFS pros sure do.

If you haven’t already, be sure to get an account on DraftFuel to get access to the player analytics and search tools you need to build better quality lineups more consistently, win more contests and money on DraftKings and FanDuel, save research time, track your spending, and improve your work flow process too. We currently support NBA, NHL, MLB, and PGA, and will be adding more sports leagues this year as well.

Don’t yet have an account on DraftKings or FanDuel? Get in the game NOW! You can get up and running in seconds, get an account on DraftKings now or sign up on FanDuel.

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The Top 5 NBA Value Player Picks on FanDuel for January 12th

Listed below are 5 NBA players for today, January 12th, from the five positions that are (by our projections) the top plays on FanDuel today.

In order to determine the top FanDuel selections, we determine players with the most value per dollar spent using our ever changing algorithm.

PPG = points per game, RPG = rebounds per game, APG = assists per game, FPPG = fantasy points per game, and PV = projected value in fantasy points.

PG = point guard, SG = shooting guard, SF = small forward, PF = power forward, C = center

Don’t yet have an account on DraftKings or FanDuel? Get in the game NOW! You can get up and running in seconds, get an account on DraftKings now or sign up on FanDuel.

NAME POSITION SALARY PPG RPG APG FPPG PV
Eric Bledsoe PG $8,200 20.4 4.9 5.8 35.87 43.65
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope SG $5,900 14.9 3.5 3.0 25.31 37.61
Kevin Durant SF $10,300 26.0 8.7 4.6 46.61 54.43
LaMarcus Aldridge PF $7,600 17.8 7.3 2.1 31.56 44.25
Brook Lopez C $7,000 20.1 5.0 2.6 32.12 39.78
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